davidmarver wrote:dcskater619 wrote:the cubs lineup is MUCH better then the cardinals, and the pitching staff, as well as the bullpen (especially without wainwright), is better as well..
Not a chance.
Derrek Lee's career year is Albert Pujols' before-prime average season. And as bad as Pierre's .330 Cubs leadoff OBP was, Soriano's career OBP is just .331. And it isn't as if Soriano is valuable in the field.
Pujols, Rolen, Edmonds, and Yadier Molina help build one hell-of-a-defense to go behind MLB's #2 pitcher, Chris Carpenter. And it isn't as if the Cubs pitching could ever hold up. Relying on a starter who walked 115 batters last season to be your ace, while also relying on Mark Prior, Wade Miller, and Kerry Wood to hold up for an entire season, doesn't bode well for the Cubs pitching in 2007.
Edmonds has to play to be an effective defender...and Im not convinced that Edmonds has lost much of his defensive prowess. After watching a crazy amount of Cardinal games last season, I have come to the conclusion that Edmonds is completely over-rated defensively. I know I will have a number of people counter that but just watch the guy in over 20 games...over-rated as it comes. I agree that Pujols, Rolen, and Yadier are great defensive chips but the Card defensive takes a HUGE hit with Chris Duncan in the field.
Zambrano struggled with his control last season but was effective nonetheless. His walks went up a great amount in 06 but I fully expect him to revert back to his 80-90BBs in 07. No matter what I hear about the Cardinal rotation, it can be just as bad if not worse in 07. Im sure Carpenter will be the same type ace which is almost guaranteed barring injury. After CCarp, it gets downright ugly. If the Cards don't resign Weaver, they're in trouble. Weaver definitely isn't a gem but if the Cards have to resort to putting Looper (who has NEVER started a MLB game) in the rotation, its going to be laughable.
Lineup easily goes to the Cubs if everyone stays healthy:
Yadier << Barrett
Pujols > Lee
Kennedy < DeRosa
Eckstein > Izturis
Rolen < Aramis
J.Rod < Murton
Edmonds << Soriano
Encarnacion < Jones
Duncan >> Theriot
Pujols is on the verge of >> but so it Aramis over Rolen...Cub lineup is much more deadly without injury (like Lee).