by The Cow » Wed Dec 20, 2006 12:20 am
Well I guess I should respond. First I never said that 27 was not the average or most common peak year. What I did say that pointing out that 28,29, and 30 are declining years when talking about a 26 year old is idiotic. Because when you trade for a 26 year old you get years 26, 27, 28, 29 and 30 assuming a 5 year deal. The way I look at these years is that all are prime years and that is what I said and the numbers of Agnes' studies back it up. The best year is 27, followed CLOSELY by the years closest to 27, meaning 25,26,27,28,29 and 30 these are all prime years. If you want to consider 28, 29 and 30 declining years from peak then you must also consider years 26, 25, and 24 declining years from peak(Yes I realize the players production is increasing, but years 24, 25 and 26 give you roughly equal production to years 28,29 and 30.) So when the Indians trade for a 22 year old Marte they will get sub-peak performance for age 22,23,24,25 and 26 on average. SO if one is to consider 28,29 and 30 declining years then one must also recognize the years prior to 27 are also sub-peak. Until a team can field a team comprised of just 27 year olds, well they will have to suffer with years 26,27,28,29 and 30 in Crisps case. In Crisp's case Boston received a player who at age 26-30 is in his prime years. i try to get players near peak when at all possible during a draft. I cannot always grab 27 year olds so I suffer with 24-30 year old players.
The Cow
Give Snakes his due!!!! Snakes deserves the fantasy expert icon!!! Go Snakes!!!!