bleach168 wrote:Thanks, I was too lazy to look it up. But I figured I'd look up the NFL since you went to the trouble to do MLB.
In the NFL, 38% of teams make the playoffs each year.
91% of the teams (29 out of 32) have been able to make the playoffs at least once in the past 7 years.
In MLB, 27% of teams make the playoffs each year.
57% of the teams have been able to make the playoffs at least once in the past 7 years.
Someone better than me at statistics can figure out which is more competitive, but just by eyeballing it, it looks like the NFL is more competitive.
Well, there's lots more sophisticated analyses than that out there. The book, The Wages of Wins has a good analysis of competitive balance. The best measure used is neither winners or play-off teams, but what's called the Noll-Scully measure (basically, it looks at how every team performs over the course of the season).
The book shows a number of things, including the fact that over the last 20 years football has had the most competitive balance. But, baseball is not far behind. Baseball's competitive balance has also been improving, not worsening. Furthermore, there's almost no relationship between the success of a league (in terms of revenue, attendance, etc.) and competitive balance.
And, the way to improve comepetitive balance has little to do with free agents and player contracts.