Absolutely Adequate wrote:Yes, that's somewhat what I was saying, Ken. The Cardinals are getting older and- sans some great trade/FA - they are getting worse. I don't see much chance of more than 85 wins.
Pujols, Rolen, Edmonds, Carpenter, Eckstein, Mulder, and Izzy all spent time on the DL this year. Marquis, Mulder, Ponson and Suppan in the first half were all disasters. With all this they still won 85 last year. The NL Pennant still runs though St. Louis.
You're only pointing out the guys who didn't play as well as you expected. As for next season, I don't think you can count on Wainwright for as much as this season. I doubt Suppan will be the best pitcher in the league in the 2nd half. Etc.
And for the guys you listed as spending time on the DL, let's examine how many games they each missed this year:
Edmonds: 51 (the guy will be 37 next year- you have to begin to expect this)
For pitchers, it's harder to say how many they missed.
Carp started 32 games, 1 fewer than 05.
Izzy threw 2/3s of an inning less than he did in 05.
Mulder had a 7.14 era - you should be happy he was on the DL.
I'm not saying that you guys had good luck, but the idea that you had bad luck is unfounded. Of the guys listed above, only Rolen, Pujols, Izzy, and Carp would really hurt you to lose for any length of time (sorry Edmonds). And none were really out for a significant amount of time.
The Cardinals are going to be a mediocre team next year. Their only hope is that they play in a mediocre division in a mediocre league.