jnormy, you have been around here long enough to know about sample size .. Right? Why don't we take a look at a larger
Is that a 100 point jump in OPS over the 2nd half? And look at all of that 2nd half pop in less AB's mind you. A career .490 Slg down the stretch .. sweet.
And to think, I can get him cheaper than used mudd at the allstar break.
So you keep thinking ..
jnormy wrote:Last year he hit .249 after the All-Star break...
and I will drop some mudd, and pickup Beltre off the wire ..
every year ..
at the break ..
Beltre AB R HR RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
Pre 2363 288 76 299 34 15 0.260 0.316 0.421 0.737
Post 2202 309 106 358 41 16 0.282 0.341 0.490 0.831
I never said he doesn't improve after the break. Clearly he manages to improve on his own pitiful numbers most years in the 2nd half. I guess I'm still jaded from the original Tru post... that was just outrageous. At least you're throwing some numbers out there, wrveves, props for that.
And you're right, I know all about samples sizes, and I also realize how much one outrageous career year can skew a player's statistics. I took the liberty of figuring out those post-All Star percentages you listed minus his splits from 2004, which everyone knows was just one of those years where Tru was WAY over his head, a complete anomaly if there ever was one. If you want an accurate reading on what might typically be expected of him year-to-year, IMO you have to throw that season's stats away.
So let's just take a look at his post-All Star career stats, minus '04:
BA .271 (11-point drop)
OBP .329 (12-point drop)
SLG .461 (a not-so-sweet 29-point drop)
OPS .790 (41-point drop)
So you see, I took your advice to heart and "kept thinking"... and I'm thinking those are some pretty significant drops considering I only subtracted one season's worth of splits from your sample. That season was a fluke, plain and simple. The rest of the numbers tell the Tru story. So again I say... Tru-ly mediocre.