Pogotheostrich wrote:jswede wrote:The original question was "how good can Sizemore become?" and if he's worth a 3rd round pick baseed on that.
Last year (1st full season):
.289, 22 HR, 111 R, 81 RBI, 22 SB (batting 2nd?)
This year (projected):
.296, 24 HR, 132 R, 73 RBI, 23 SB (batting leadoff)
Considering he just turned 24 about 3 weeks ago, I'd say he can step up a little bit across the board. So let's say for the 2008 season, batting 2nd or 3rd, he's at:
.305, 30 HR, 125 R, 90 RBI, 30 SB
Fairly conservative estimates, imo. I'd be all over that in round 3.
In 2010, he'll start the season as a 27yr old. I would, ahem, want him on my roster.
Thing is, just marginal improvements across the board for a 5 stat guy is HUGE.
But when he does switch to 3rd in that lineup will he continue to steal?
I realize that Crawford has more speed, less protection around him than Sizemore, and has a manager that's aggresive on the basepaths, but he's the only example off the top of my head that has moved from 1 to 3 and has speed. In 65 AB hitting out of the #3 spot he has 9 SB. So it hasnt stopped him from swiping bags.
I'd worry about a slight dip in SB, but still a very solid source of them.