Call me simplistic, but I don't see how any team can compete for the playoffs when they're basically just throwing away a full 20% of their games. That's what the Jays have been doing all year with the #5 spot, it has literally been a black hole for them. Their 1-15 record out of that slot is just ridiculous. And the #4 spot has been really shaky for about a month now too.
They're trying hard, but the way things are going you're basically asking Halladay, Burnett, and Lilly to be virtually perfect each time they start and have like an .800 winning percentage between them, which is impossible for anyone. The bullpen isn't very strong either (outside of Ryan). I like the offence, but there are just too many holes throughout the pitching staff to see this team realistically advancing to the playoffs this year.
With a couple of smart additions to the pitching, I think they could be a realistic start-to-finish contender next year, but I think this year they'll kinda be like the '98 team, a fun group that stays competitive for a while, but ultimately come up short with maybe about two or three weeks to go.
You've got a diamond, You've got nine men
You've got a hat and a bat, And that's not all..