Geek wrote:1. Wright
Of course, if McCab goes to a better ballpark/lineup, all bets are off.
There's no way that A-Rod should be ranked higher than Johann Santana, who's been a top 10 player in each of the past three years (2004-2006), whereas A-Rod wasn't a top 10 player in 2004 and won't be in 2006.
A-Rod is probably settling into late 1st round/early second round production. 120/35/115/15 numbers. Great numbers, but not a monster like he was in Texas.
why would we look at only the past 3 years? how about looking at just june of this season then?
yeah i know the past 3 years is when he's been in NY, but he did well in 2005, so we know it's not like he's incapable of performing in NY. and he's still relatively young, so it's not like this is a decline from his prime already or anything.
i don't really know why arod is reverting to his 2004 #s so far this season, so is it possible that he will do it again next year? possible. is it also possible that he can get the 48 130 21 .320 that he got in 2005 again? yeah. and that's why you draft him #1 or 2.
it's not fair to say arod is a late 1st / early 2nd rounder already. there are so many 1st round picks who are having bad seasons, have they dropped down the list too already?
vlad is on pace for only about 32 110 10 .290. he also has .800 something ops, the lowest he's ever had in a full season.
papi is hitting like .260. that's not a top 5 pick like he was taken this year. that's like a thome or konerko.
pujols seems to be in danger of being labled a health risk with constant plantar fascilitis and a freak back injury this year.
teix, i don't need to say anything here. this guy was being drafted as high as #3.
abreu now has no power.
i mean, so many established 1st rounders are having bad years this year, i don't see why arod would drop, unless everyone is going to drop below a bunch of new crop of young studs - which i think is still too soon to do. if i have a choice between arod and wright next year, i'm still taking arod. ortiz vs. crawford? ortiz. etc.
i do agree that johan santana is underrated. he truly is something special. but i'd still rather take my chances with a pujols version 2, than a pitcher i suppose.