acsguitar wrote:I think the kid is pretty new to baseball all in all. Give him 5 years and he could be really dominant
...or he could be washed up 30 year old.
As an O's fan I want nothing more than for Cabrera to turn into an ace. But, let's be realistic. He's 25 years old. He's pitched close to 700 professional innings. Here's a list of pitchers 25 and younger already in the majors: Papelbon, JJohnson, Liriano, Reyes, Zumaya, CZambrano, Verlander, Kazmir, Myers, Jannssen, Francis, Harden, Duke, Bonderman, Santana, Willis, FHernandez, Peavy. Would Cabrera even be among the top 15 in that list? Add in the guys in the minors, and I think you can make a good case that Cabrera doesn't crack the top 25 pitchers in professional baseball under age 25.
Look at his comps. He's got about a 10 percent chance of turning into an ace. He's got about a 25 percent of turning into a decent 2-4 guy. And he's got about a 60-70 percent of continuing to be more likely to hit the mascot than the catcher's mitt.
There are plenty of better bets than Cabrera.