hybrid wrote:He could possibly be a #2 if everything breaks great for him. I'm just not that big on him and think he is much more likely to be a middle of the rotation type guy. Very few pitching prospects have ace potential and he isn't one of them IMO.
Agreed, not every pitching prospect is a 1 or a 2. Not every predicted 1 or 2 type pitching prospects ever turn out to be that. There isn't even 20 #1 pitchers in the majors this year, just because a pitcher is YOUR #1 pitcher doesn't mean he is a #1. There aren't many #1 pitchers out there so to expect a rookie to be that or turn into that is a mistake. I would say a #3 is about right for Reyes.
I will make a little chart of what I think 1 through 5 starters should be if put them in a category. Take this with a grain of salt as I did this in 3 minutes and didn't put a ton of thought into it. This could make for a nice discussion though........
210+ IP a year
200+ SO a year
3.30 ERA or less a year
1.10 WHIP or less a year
Anything worse is just taking up roster space IMO.
Anyway, doing this just made me want to think about it a little more to more accurately make each category. It would be fun to see what everyone else thinks each pitcher should be.