mweir145 wrote:J35J wrote:PinotResa wrote:TheRawDAWG wrote:I'd be more concerned with him not keeping up the power more so than the average. Like i said, he's always hit for a great average. He'll hit .335
That's quite a claim. I think he has an outside shot at it, but it's unlikely. Rios has shown he can hit for that type of average once before. In 2003 at AA New Haven, Rios hit .352 in 562 PA. That should be about equal to .333 in the majors.
In the other four years of equal playing time in the minors, Rios hit for far less, .293 career minor leauge aveage (including 2003). .273 combined average in first two season in MLB, .288 career.
If Rios ends up with a .315 avg for the season, which is probably the high end, then that means he will hit .285 - .290 the rest of the way. In other words, sell high if someone will take him thinking he will continue at the .350+ pace.
Exactly, that's why I don't really understand why some people think my projection for Rios' end of the year line is too conservative. He's just not going to keep this up.
Since we started this thread his average has actually gone up.