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bclay wrote:Here's another method that I use frequently. Our league counts both wins and losses, so I use the betting lines on close calls. My cutoff is usually when the starter is -140 or better, which over the long haul will give you a good W-L percentage. Theoretically, the betting line should take everything into account (ie park, lineups, current trends, opposing pitcher) so it's pretty good over the long haul.
If you guys don't count losses, it's not quite as valuable, as it would only help with wins. Obviously, the line will provide no guidance on the ratios, although you would think the more a SP is favored, the better ratios he would have in the game. One problem with the line is that sometimes pitchers still win, (but with a score like 7-5) which is no good for the ratios.
valnas wrote:I have 3 pitchers available today
Bush, Young, Escobar
I'm thinking start Young @ Florida, escobar at home vs. texas
Bench Bush at St Loius
agree ? or should I let bush give it a go?
valnas wrote:i'm sitting bush starting esc, i jsut don't have enough everday starters to keep up in innings/k's/CG/SHO if i don't start escobar often.
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