TheBayBergaler wrote:Howard's gonna 'get some' in that bandbox Philli plays in.. I'm thinking
That conservatively.. Could increase hrs, and rbi's... also could lose some in the avg...but a great pick this season in my book.
That's conservative? I'd say that's about the absolute max if everthing goes perfectly. People constantly make the mistake of just multiplying a young players stats by 2 or 3 and assume that's what to expect but that's usually not how it works. Just like pitchers get hit harder the second time facing an offense, hitters are often at a big disadvantage once pitchers get a couple of looks at them and realize their weaknesses. Howard is a great power hitter but he has only had a half season in the majors and to expect those kinds of numbers in his first full season is just hopeful optimism. Knock down all of those numbers by a few and hope he even gets there.