Dan Charette wrote: In the abstract of the pitcher against the batter without looking at the end result . Just 1 on 1 if the pitcher makes his pitches, he'll get the batters out most of the time.
Of course he'll get the batters out most of the time. The best hitters only have a .330 average. They get out 2/3rds of the time. Even the worst pitcher will get betters out most of the time.
I think the answer is on the first page of this thread:
nuggets wrote:Pujols fared poorly versus Sheets and Pettite at thier best. Aside from potentially lesser piching due to injury, it appears the better pitchers in the league can keep Pujols under a .900 OPS. I'd say that's the best pitching beating the best hitting.
Under a .900 OPS?!? That's what you call good pitching beating good hitting? There were something like 50 hitters with more than a .900 OPS last year, and it's closer to 25 when you discount guys with less than 400 at-bats. Even if his actual OPS was closer to .800, that's still an above-average hitter.
But, if you took a team of Pujolses, what would Santana's ERA against *them* be? There's probably a good way to estimate that, but I'm sure it would be at least 5.0. (Feel free to do the math.)
I forget, was the point that good pitching always beats good hitting, or that good pitching slightly reduces the effectiveness of good hitting?