I'd say your idea is a sound one. Is this not a daily league then??
Anyway, with 5 strong SP, you should be pretty good. This match-up looks pretty even though, as holds guys can still pick-up Wins. Probably a close pitching week for you (making this claim on the stats you're giving me, obviously don't know what pitchers both teams have.)
...Boston papers now and then suffer a sharp flurry of arithmetic on this score; indeed, for Williams to have distributed all his hits so they did nobody else any good would constitute a feat of placement unparalleled in the annals of selfishness. -Updike