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Bailey is your prototypical Texas redneck: he hunts, wears a cowboy hat, and he collects wild boar tusks. Ooooookay. He also happens to be the Reds’ best hope for a homegrown #1 starter in some time. He has the frame (6’4”, 190 and still filling out) that you want in a power pitcher and his arm currently allows him to throw mid 90s heat consistently. It also has great movement and while he struggled at times with his command, he’s shown the ability to locate it well in the past. Has a nice downward curve that should be a plus pitch as well with his fastball, and also tosses a change that is still developing. With the Reds’ history of first round pitching busts (Howington and Gruler first and foremost), the Reds will continue to baby Bailey as he progresses to High A this year. Probably doesn’t see Cinergy Field until mid-2007 at the earliest, but you never know with the pitching-starved Reds.
Not much negative can be said about this young ace in the making. Baseball scouts drool when they watch Homer pitch in games these days. At age 15, Bailey was clocked at 89mph and each year his velocity jumped. In his first high school game he struck out 10 batters over 4 perfect innings and was clocked at 94 mph. Two of Texas’ most famed pitchers haven’t even received the adjectives “easy” and “smooth”, and those two are stellar pitchers themselves. Bailey possesses a fastball and curveball that are tops amongst all pitching prospects, and his command easily ranks him in the top 10. Some scouts even say that the Brewers made a mistake when selecting Mark Rogers over Bailey, who is obviously a better choice. There is no doubt in my mind that Bailey has ace written all over him and should be the Reds #1 SP within the next 2 years. ETA: 2008
Zito is God wrote:I love his curve/FB combo. The FB tops off at around 95 while the curve has a giant bite to it. The thing is I think he is groomed for a closer because of the absense of the third pitch (changeup is mediocre) as well as he fatigue. The Reds are in deseperate need of starters though and likely will not move him.
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