I was just fretting over my final keeper for the 10,000th time, when something dawned on me.
Why do most keeper questions here tend to not take into consideration what other teams are keeping?
For the past couple of years in my keeper league, I've printed up the full league roster and pored over each team, trying to anticipate their keepers.
Granted, there is always someone who stretches and keeps an unproven prospect or an aging vet who is a shell of his former self, so it isn't exact.
But the exercise provides some great info that can be very useful in chosing your own keeper and getting a jump on draft strategy.
Some examples from my league:
• I project that up to 10 first basemen will be protected, meaning I don't have to worry about protecting a bubble guy or drafting my 1B early.
• I project that quite a few second-tier type third basemen will be available, giving me pause in keeping my 3B when I may be able to improve on him on draft day.
• Most anchor-type starters will likely be protected, meaning I should be careful about leaving the top pitcher on the board.
• Based on our league rules, a few managers have some major keeper predictaments and may be ripe for trade offers, e.g. one guy has both Lidge and Street, another has Rollins and Pheralta both at SS, another has Wright and M. Cabrera both at 3B.
The specifics of my league don't really matter. The point is that often managers only take their own team into consideration when picking their keepers.
While that is obviously the most important factor in who you keep (since it determines who you CAN keep), there can be a lot of really useful info from projecting everyone's keepers. This info can actually help you make a decision on your own keepers, predict draft day trends and help you find the guys in the early rounds of your draft who should have been protected.
Anyone else have experience with this?
"All opinions are not equal. Some are a very great deal more robust, sophisticated and well supported in logic and argument than others."
— Douglas Adams (1952-2001)