SouthBronxBombers wrote:Hmm, how did Greg Gross do in spring training last year?
That is the most recent best example of why not to use spring training in judging a player.
As I said, you only give a slight nudge. Since Gross didn't even make my ranking sheet last year, a slight nudge did nothing for him. If you have 6 players ranked all in the same range as Edwin Encarnacion this year than I would simply nudge him to the top of that 6 because he's doing so well in spring.
What you are really looking for is injured players who are healthy this year(burrell last year), young players who seem to be adjusting to the league(Edwin this year) and older players who have changed their approach at the plate.(jones last year). Again I can't stress enough not to worry about it until the last week or two of spring training and don't go overboard, if all you do is give them a small bonus for how they do in spring training you really can't lose. You don't want to suddenly jump them up 3 rounds in your draft but moving them over the 3 or 4 guys directly above them is worth it.
There have been studies that show that large jumps in spring training OPS generally are indicators of better seasons, there is a small blurb about it in Shandler's book. Dont' go overboard or anything but don't just ignore spring training either.