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AcidRock23 wrote:Note, it just has a short bit about guile, suggesting that some pitchers who can work pitch selection, make faces or whatever can get an extra boost which is not really quantifiable. Their modus operandi is (caution: approaching gross oversimplification) to look at rates of ground balls, fly balls and line drives and then compare that to other, more traditional strats. They also have 'strand rate' calculated for pitchers as well.
Despite all the number crunching, there are some guys who, for whatever reason, end up doing better than their 'BPI' number would suggest. The short (maybe a column and a half?) article suggests that this could be described as a pitcher with 'guile', since luck can be quantified. I do think that their methodology is very interesting though and that you would find the book useful. There's kind of too many #s to just toss them out though, you really have to read it to get the picture of why it works.
By age, I wasn't meaning so much 'experience' as much as 'wear and tear'. I'm 37 and have a GREAT DEAL of empathy for players just getting into a groove at the start of a season.
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