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New Zealand Fan wrote:I think Washburn is a huge risk. His peripheral numbers last year were not very good, so his ERA is very misleading. I'd be very surprised if his ERA was below 4.25, and he's not a big K guy. Add that to a 1.3 WHIP or so, and it's not too good.
New Zealand Fan wrote:You're way off the mark with a 1.35 plus Whip. In 8 seasons pitching in Anaheim he's only ever done that once.
One of the guys major strengths during his career has been his control. Admittedly the last two seasons his control has not been great but he has had injury concerns. If he is 100% healthy and there's no reason to suggest he's not and with him moving to very much a pitchers park, common sense says his Whip improves.
And even if his overall numbers the last 3 years haven't been great his away record over this period is very good and that is the biggest indicator to improvement this year.
2003-04-05 combined away from Anaheim his ERA is 3.60, Whip is 1.20 and BAA is .249.
You call him a huge risk but in my eyes he is just the opposite.
GotowarMissAgnes wrote:I'd say Marquis, Chen, Suppan, Santana, Verlander, Maholm, are on that border.
The rest would be a stretch at that level.
New Zealand Fan wrote:I'm certainly not building my entire case on his away numbers but they are an important factor and it would be foolish to dismiss them.
Also I just can't see how this guy is a "huge risk" in relation to where he will likely be drafted in standard leagues (probably not at all in most) and in fact can be had so late that there can only be upside.
And although he has had injury concerns the last 2 seasons he's still only 31 and there's nothing to suggest he shouldn't be 100% healthy for the entire 2006.
I think you are overstating his injury history as he's averaged almost 30 starts a season for the past 5 seasons with never fewer than 25 starts. I'd say there would only be a handful of current MLB SP's that have exceeded that.
Well, other than his home/road splits, what argues for Washburn? His recent ERAs have been bad
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