GotowarMissAgnes wrote:RAmst23 wrote:GotowarMissAgnes wrote:These rankings and values are based on 2005 stats, not 2006 projected stats.
As for the magazine, save your $. They project Soriano to hit .282 with 90+ rbis and runs in RFK.
The magazine isn't terrible, though you do have to adjust some of their rankings.
A 90 RBI season for Soriano isn't that far off the mark IMO. Now, the .282 avg and the 34 HRs they think he's going to hit is a little wrong. My projections for Soriano have him producing a 25/25 season with a .260 AVG, 90 runs and 90 RBIs.
I think you need to check that run and rbi projection against a good team run projection for the Nats. Last year they scored fewer just 639 runs, and it's impossible for any player on a team scoring that many runs to get 90 runs or rbis. This year, they may score slightly more, but it's doubtful they'll get over 700 runs. That makes it very, very difficult for a player with an OBP like Soriano to get 90 runs or rbis.
Soriano is going to hit around 25 HRs and slug about .500, I think these numbers will get him 90 RBIs. I might agree with you on the 90 Runs talk, seeing that as a Yankee in 2004 he only scored 77 in 2004. Even with that, I'd still predict an 80 Run season with 90 RBIs and 25/25 stats. Doesn't make him a first rounder, but depending on how much you believe in Utley, I could see someone drafting Soriano before him.