thinkspin wrote:Surfs up wrote:I just looked at Rototimes dollar projections and I'll tell you there ain't no way ARod goes for $40.75 in my league this year. You can add at least $10.00 to his price.Hell they had Podsednik at $26.00 or $28.00 He went for $38.00 last year. Vlad went for $50.00. I stopped looking about 10 players done. Not worth the time.Its almost laughable.
The higher priced players go for more money than they are worth and the lower priced players go for less than they are worth. That is just the nature of auctions.
Yeah, too often owners confuse the concept of a player's projected value with the idea of what he would go for in the draft.
You can try to create two different types of cheatsheets, one which lets you know what a player is expected to earn so you don't pay too much for what you are going to get in return, or one which gives you an idea of how much it will take to acquire a player in the draft so you can decide if he's the player you want to spend that much for.
I do both. My cheatsheet is a compilation of all the dollar values I can find on the net. It includes dollar values based on last year's actual stats as well as dollar values based on this year's projections. I take these values and average them and then also carry the max value found for each player. This gives me a pretty good idea of the concensus on a players actual value as well as the max I can expect a player to go for in the draft. Then, of course I look at those values and determine if they seem realistic based on what ARod's values are versus what I know he has gone for in past drafts, for example, and usually it shakes out about right.
People who are on this magical search for the be all and end all of dollar value projections are wasting their time. If you don't want to compile numerous dollar values to minimize the inlfluence of any whacky anomolies that might occur in a single set of dollar values, then pick a few test players, i.e. ARod, the top SP in the league, the top closer, the top OF, etc., find a set of dollar values in which these players best correspond to what these types of players have traditionally gone for in your league in the past and run with it.