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Finishing ahead of them one year means nothing. I finished second-to-last in my money league this past year, because it was a head-to-head league and I got unlucky draws, while outscoring my opponents by a wider margin than anybody else in the league.Valman wrote:Amen Dark Knight!! I played in a league with two so-called pro's. Writers and stat predictors. I finished ahead (3rd), in a 15 team league, of both. Luck, injuries and waiver wire is part of the process. Don't care who you are or how much time you spend on projections.
Dark Knight wrote:When I first started playing fantasy sports, I used to make cr@p loads of projection sheets. I got tired of doing all this work because projections are just opinions of a players future performance, based on his past performances, and every year half the good players from the past year bomb big time the following year due to poor performance or injury. I have been playing fantasy baseball, football, and basketball, for over 10 years now, so I am familiar enough with the players names and stat numbers to have a great draft without having to bring pages and pages full of my hopefull projections to the draft with me, and it saves me a lot of written guess work as well.
Iconoclastic wrote:I keep a document year round where I make fantasy baseball related notes and then a month before the draft starts I project and then rank them according to tier. I've been doing this for 7 years and I tweak the method every now and then.
looptid wrote:For $10 you can get the 2005 projections from Baseball Info Solutions, as another alternative to the PETCOA stuff at BP. Those same projections are in the 2006 Bill James Handbook, but you wouldn't have to go through the bother of entering them all into a spreadsheet or database.
Pedantic wrote:Those of you who do your own work, how many players do you usually do?
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