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Pogotheostrich wrote:The thing is Wins are a poor predictor of future success. Just because Dontrelle won 20+ this year doesn't mean he will in the future. K/BB, K/9 and WHIP are much more accurate for predicting a future perfomance.messyjesse1 wrote:Pogotheostrich wrote:Which stats? Cause Peavy is 2 spots behind him while Peavy had a better WHIP, K/9 and K/BB last year. Plus Peavy is only 7 months older.messyjesse1 wrote:Actually I am not a fan of him one bit and will not be drafting him next year most likely, but stats and age show that is where he belongs in a keeper draft
Yes, but what about wins? That is a very big stat, plus Dontrelle is only two spots higher. I understand your points and I agree that I would take Peavy ahead of Dontrelle, but this isn't my ranking as much as when I think people will draft players (Dontrelle is known to be a little overhyped and Peavy is unnoticed). That is why Derrek Lee is on there, yet I don't know if he will be a top 5 1B.
messyjesse1 wrote:Guys im not a "Edited for language" idiot, I understand. But I also understand that Dontrelle has the capability to go the distance each outing, allowing MORE decisions than Peavy regardless. Dontrelle also plays on a better team, and trust me, Dontrelle will have more wins than Peavy each year from here on out.
Hootie wrote:Willis was on the better team this year, but how can anyone say next year? There are a ton of free agents to address. Wins are hard to predict. What EVIDENCE is there Willis will win more from here on out.
dannyolbb wrote:Hootie wrote:Willis was on the better team this year, but how can anyone say next year? There are a ton of free agents to address. Wins are hard to predict. What EVIDENCE is there Willis will win more from here on out.
A minor point, but still. I think it's time we acknowledge that Kevin Towers isn't a very good GM. Furthermore, the Padres don't have much of a minor league system, if memory serves.
My point is that they don't have a lot of help on the way. There is some evidence that Willis will continue to be on the better team. It's not conclusive, of course, but that's why it's not called proof. But there is some evidence nevertheless.
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