Red Stripe wrote:I think Johan should win it but you should all know how those voters usually cast their votes. They put way to much emphasis on W-L records and it really screws some guys over because they might not play on a playoff team. I've preached that over and over again but that is just the way it works. It'll most likely be Colon because the he ain't too far away from Johan in ERA, WHIP, and BAA but he is a 20 winner and has the same amount of losses. For some reason the voters soil themselves when they see a 20 winner and just ignore the true telling stats.
So I think Johan should win it, but I think Colon will win it.
I think Colon will win it and should.
I'm all for using the stats, but wins is one of them, and with only 14 Johan isnt far enough ahead to really deserve it. He sure doesnt rate the love he's getting now.
3.05\0.99 vs 3.34\1.13 in era\whip is better but not overwhelmingly so. 220 K's vs 149 is where he has a great advantage but in my mind thats offset by the disparity in wins. I do think wins is a valid cat to use for a Cy Young judgement. With only 14 you need to do better then a 3.05 ERA to merit the CY IMO.
Last year he had the wins and the ERA and he played on the same lousy team. The Brew had 10 less wins last year and he had 20 wins. Now that was a season worthy of a Cy Young.
You guys are making it sound like Colon is one of those super lucky high era 20 game winners. He's had a fine year. Give him the CY.