mweir145 wrote:The_Met_Threat wrote:mweir145 wrote:The_Met_Threat wrote:I kinda compare Wright to Miggy. Not in terms of how they play the game but that they are very young and look to be continually getting better. Wright is likely my favorite player but i expect those numbers everyone has been talking about and they are realistic. The chances of Bay ever reaching around 15 sb again are unrealistic. I really dont see how this guy has any speed and i believe most of his SB came from taking advantage of bad catchers and good situations. I mean 6 cs out of 10 attempts shows the true jason bay last year. While Wright we already know has speed, he could even put up 25 sb. I think Bay will hit around .290 - 30 - 100 - 100 - 10 Which are still very nice numbers but i believe hell keep a steady pace to this years numbers. I also think Bay strikes out a little too much compared to his # of walks, but still a very fine keeper indeed. I think Wright has a much higher ceiling, around a top 5 pick if he can get his power to 35 hr. Just imagine.
.305 - 110 - 35 - 120 - 25 Of course those numbers are generous, and im thinking more like 3 years down the road, but i think ill take that top 5. Also depending on where he plays in the lineup, and if Beltran can get OB more and get in scoring position.
But how does that explain Bay's 14 sb to 0 cs ratio this year? Maybe he's just getting better jumps and has learned the major league pitchers this year better.
In my mind, he's a smart base stealer, and that can usually get you atleast 15 SB's a year if you play your cards right.
Ya thats true i can't explain where that came from. Id have to go and look whenever he stole a base and see who the catcher was and frankly too lazy, and that is not the point im trying to prove anyway. Still i see Wright as higher ceiling and lower floor. But Bay is still good.
Yeah, I guess I'll believe you because I haven't seen enough of either of them to really know who is the better player at the moment, and who will do better in the future.
Bay is fast enough to steal 20+ bases a year.
Wright has potential to steal more in any given year. 13, 18 or 20+ I think it's hard to predict because he may not steal as often if he bats higher in the order.
Bay 110 30 95 17 .290 .390 .550
Wright 100 28 100 18 .295 .390 .535