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Will Aaron Rowand have a strong 2nd half?

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Will Aaron Rowand have a strong 2nd half?

Postby ChoneJohn » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:14 pm

He's been riding the pine on my first place team for the entire season, outside of a couple of weeks early on. I know that he's traditionally a 2nd half kind of guy, but he's produced1 below his totals from last year so far, I was curious what you guys thought about his 2nd half. Can we hope to see 40+ RBI/10-12HR?
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Postby dkakridas » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:21 pm

I don't see why not. He had 15 HR and 48 RBI after the break last year and a hit for a much higher average. About double the amount the SB's he has now can be expected. I think he is a fine 2nd half performer unless there is a major trade and he is shipped out of that lineup. Of course if he goes to the Yankees, that would be a different story :-)

The Chi Sox have some great young OF's just about ready in Anderson, Sweeney and Young in that order. It's just a matter of time before one of them or Rowand is sent packing for pitching.
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Postby Half Massed » Sun Jul 10, 2005 4:08 pm

i like rowand for a 2nd half surge this year. his numbers at the break last year and this year were more or less comparable. (lower avg. less hrs, more sbs, same OBP this year than last year) i expect him to perform similar to last year's 2nd half. he's a good buy low candidate since people don't value him highly and his name value isn't so high.
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Postby BobbyRoberto » Sun Jul 10, 2005 5:13 pm

Aaron Rowand, month-by-month OPS:
April, 2004--.721
May, 2004--.821
June, 2004--1.061
July, 2004--.934
August, 2004--1.131
September, 2004--.706

April, 2005--.620
May, 2005--.858
June, 2005--.730
July, 2005--.442

Rowand started hitting better last year in June, then it carried over into July and August. I realize it's arbitrary to use each month as a cut-off point, but that's the easiest way to do it.

This year, his June wasn't all that good and he's been crap in July so far (small sample size, but still--crap).

For his career, Rowand has these year-by-year OPS numbers:
2001--.816 (in 123 at-bats)

Last season looks like an outlier.

Also, last season, Rowand's ground ball to fly ball ratio (G/F) was 1.33, which was the lowest of his career and helps explain his good slugging numbers. This year, he's at 2.23. He's hitting a lot more ground balls than last year.

To quote the Magic 8 Ball: Outlook Not Good.
Roger Angell: I was talking with Bob Gibson and I said: 'Are you always this competitive?' He said: 'Oh, I think so. I got a three-year old daughter, and I've played about 500 games of tic-tac-toe with her and she hasn't beat me yet.'
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Postby bigh0rt » Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:25 pm

Rowand doesn't really excite me at all for the rest of this year.
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