Siege1386 wrote:How about if one of them was not drafted at all. I gambled and let everyone pass up on Prior. I picked him up immediately after the draft was over.
If Prior went undrafted, your League Quality is pitiful.
1. Prior - 34th pick (me)
2. Preston Wilson - 91st pick
3. Pujols - 10th pick (me)
4. Sheffield - 53rd pick (me)
4. Kearns - 156th pick
4. Delgado - 56th pick
7. Foulke - 83rd pick
8. Vernon Wells - 134th pick
9. Matt Morris - 21st pick
9. Furcal - 115th pick
9. Williamson - 169 pick
9. Alex Rodriguez - 1st pick
Average is 76.92
I don't think the Keys to Success really shows much at all. Mostly it is filled with mid round guys who are having good years. A couple of them, Wells and Kearns, an astute owner might gamble on late and be rewarded, showing fantasy owner prowess. Carl Everett and Corey Patterson have outperformed them both and were probably drafted later, Patterson probably not at all. I guess their owners aren't as smart.
Similarly - Mussina, Brown, even Loazia have outperformed Prior and Morris by YAHOO! rankings, but again, their owners do not have the savvy a Prior owner like myself has - even though they were all there when I drafted Prior, giving better value.
You also have to look at the numbers. Prior looks to be significantly more important to a team success, since his ownership percent outdistances Wilson by 1.2 percentage points (a 7.3 percent difference). Wilson and Pujols are only 0.2 percentage points more valuable than Sheff/Kearns/Delgado (1.3 percent difference). After the big gap from Prior to #2, the increments are small. Without applying a t-test or something on the numbers, I would say the only thing you could glean from the Keys to Success is that Prior is by far the largest contributor.
Most likely Prior being in the #1 spot is more reflective of the fact that he was probably the most talked about future star going into this year, and one of the more hyped, well known prospects in recent memory. Any semi-knowledgeable owner would be well aware of his draft status.
Rank Player Percent Owner
1 Prior, Mark (SP-ChC) 16.4
2 Wilson, Preston (CF-Col) 15.2
2 Pujols, Albert (LF,3B,1B-StL) 15.2
4 Sheffield, Gary (RF-Atl) 15.0
4 Kearns, Austin (RF,CF-Cin) 15.0
4 Delgado, Carlos (1B-Tor) 15.0
7 Foulke, Keith (RP-Oak) 14.8
8 Wells, Vernon (CF-Tor) 14.6
9 Rodriguez, Alex (SS-Tex) 14.4
9 Morris, Matt (SP-StL) 14.4
9 Furcal, Rafael (SS-Atl) 14.4
9 Williamson, Scott (RP-Cin) 14.4
13 Dunn, Adam (LF,1B,RF-Cin) 14.0
14 Pierre, Juan (CF-Fla) 13.6
15 Mussina, Mike (SP-NYY) 13.4
15 Mantei, Matt (RP-Ari) 13.4
15 Soriano, Alfonso (2B-NYY) 13.4
15 Williams, Woody (SP-StL) 13.4
19 Helton, Todd (1B-Col) 13.0
19 Carter, Lance (RP-TB) 13.0
19 Boone, Aaron (3B,SS,2B-Cin) 13.0
22 Politte, Cliff (RP-Tor) 12.8
22 Vazquez, Javier (SP-Mon) 12.8
22 Garciaparra, Nomar (SS-Bos) 12.8
22 Brown, Kevin (SP,RP-LA) 12.8
26 Biddle, Rocky (RP,SP-Mon) 12.6
26 Rolen, Scott (3B-StL) 12.6
28 Mulder, Mark (SP-Oak) 12.4
29 Kent, Jeff (2B-Hou) 12.2
29 Looper, Braden (RP-Fla) 12.2
Last edited by DGroundhog on Wed Jun 04, 2003 2:28 am, edited 2 times in total.