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davidmarver wrote:(High-fives Beltrans_boy)
nuggets wrote:DGroundhog wrote:Definitely a nice trend over the last few weeks, but it's still been a bit frustrating. Finally a little payoff. He's got a way to go before 'he's back' or has redeemed his value to any great extent.
I'm wondering which Chavez we will get. The '01/'02 version with a relatively poor BB:K, 33ish HR and .870 range OPS as his showing signs of this year? Or something more like last year with a nice BB:K and .900 range OPS, which was very nice last season in the second half of the year for my H2H $ league that counts BB, K and OPS. He showed signs of this near 1:1 BB:K ability post-AS last in '03 also. Oh BBoy, what can I expect?
nuggets wrote:His BB:K is right at the '01 level now. One main reason I have the question.
His IsoP has dropped since '01, can you explain?
nuggets wrote:beltrans_boy wrote:His Isolated Power has dropped, but his HR rate has climbed:
2004 - 16.38
2003 - 20.28
2002 - 17.21
2001 - 17.25
2000 - 19.27
With the exception of 2003, his HR rate has been steadily increasing since 2000 (his first full season in the majors), but his IsoP has dropped.
So what does this tell me? His doubles and triples rates have dropped (except in 2003). Let's see if this is the case:
2004 - 23.75
2003 - 13.36
2002 - 17.21
2001 - 12.84
Yup, it's true. Over the last 4 years, Chavez has become more of a HR hitter than a gap doubles and triples hitter. What's the reason for the dropoff in 2003? Your guess is as good as mine, but I'm guessing it's not significant since he improved on those numbers in 2004.
Look for Eric to have a huge 2nd half. His K/BB ratios should be right in line with (or close enough to) his 2004 numbers, and he should improve on that 16.38 AB/HR ratio as well.
Isolated power is just a very small part of the big picture. You can't really look at individual metrics, you have to look at all of them in order to see the big picture.
Do you see how personally your explination for Chavez is dependent on exluding certian years/stats and highlightng others? Factor that in, as I do, when you consider Tejada, and not in a purely negative way.
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