I am guessing no more than 20...if he's lucky. I see Hermansopn getting close to 17-20 so that's going to seriously crimp Takatsu's numbers this year. Hermanson gets paid way too much money not to get the ball with the game on the line.
If you want a sleeper closer that will get you 10-15 saves at least this year pick up and reserve Chad Orvella, 24, closer for Tampa's AA team. As soon as Baez is traded, and he will be, Orvella will most likely get the nod after a Colome crashes and burns at the chance. Get him now before the rest of your league catches on. His arm is electric and he has put up obscene numbers in the minors. He is ready and looks like a right handed Billy Wagner.