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The opponents batting average is the most telling number, in my opinion. Hitters still havn't quite figured out these pitchers, they've just been a little erratic with their control. It's April, so I wouldn't read much into it. These pitchers will get themselves under control and be just fine.
We could make a thread similar to this one about why you shouldn't draft first-basemen based on how a lot of them have performed thus far. It's really not too relevent because it's too early to write off these pitchers, especially in a roto league.
KolbSaves wrote:A pitcher has less control over hits allowed than over walks, so how do you figure opp baa is the most telling number?
bleach168 wrote:Gonzo? You mean 0 wins, 0 saves, 4.15 ERA qualifies him as a stud? I'm sure his owners are happy with the production they have gotten so far.
Calero? I called him a stud.
As for jumping the gun too early on these MRs, 7 out of the 10 are duds. To me, that's more of a trend than coincidence.
If you want to look at closers (excluding save totals to be fair),
Gagne - no stats (injured)
Rivera - dud
Lidge - stud
Foulke - dud
Wagner - stud
K-Rod - stud
Nathan - stud
Izzy - stud (until injured)
Benitez - dud (until injured)
Dotel - stud
If healthy, Gagne would very likely be a stud. That still leaves 6 out of the remaining 9 as studs. Anyone want to bet against Rivera and Foulke returning to stud status by the end of the year?
davidmarver wrote:KolbSaves wrote:A pitcher has less control over hits allowed than over walks, so how do you figure opp baa is the most telling number?
I meant that it'll be the most telling number for how they'll fare this season, if you can take anything out of one month's statistics.
bleach168 wrote:Here are 10 highly touted MRs going into this year,
Otsuka - dud
Gonzalez - dud
Rincon - stud (but with roid suspension may quickly turn into dud)
Shields - stud
Linebrink - dud
Donnelly - dud (but has been good lately, may be a stud soon)
Ayala - dud
Calero - stud
Urbina - dud
Gordon - dud
7 out of 10 of the best MRs are duds. Sure, if you take the top 3 MRs at the end of this year and compare them to the Cy Young, the overall stats will look very similar. However, finding those studs in a field of duds is extremely challenging.
While I do use MRs myself, I would recommend against relying on the strategy. Make sure you draft quality SPs and only use super late picks on MRs. In leagues where roster space is at a premium, I would avoid the MR strategy altogether.
New Zealand Fan wrote:Using an MR strategy in a normal 5 x 5 league from the beginning of the season is a negative tactic and will never win you a competitive league.
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