agreed. I'm a mediocre drafter really. I have a hard time coming up with very accurate predictions. But I am good at coming up with what positions are scarcer than others, a strategy for the coming year, etc.
I think trading and drafting are seperate issues. I shine more after the draft, and I have a sense of how players are distributed and how differing owners value certain guys. I have a better sense of how to use leverage --for example:
Me and another owner in one league own randy johnson, santana, oswalt, schmidt. 12 team league. The one with the first two also has nomar and orlando cabrera. Im trading for a SS, and got tejada for schmidt. The fact is, schmidt is probably #3 or #4 in SP, but the player who has the number 1 and 2 doesn't have a compelling reason to trade for a SS. So the tejada owner who has carpenter as his ace and lowe as his #2 is semi-screwed. I am much better at reading the league than I am at initially picking the players.
That said, I like side #2, but when that many studs move, its hard to veto, as everyone ahs their own projections, and you can't deifnitively say that one side is "screwed" -- as they got studs back.