LBJackal wrote:OK here's the answer to what GSes was talking about... the all-time worst ERA's of pitcher who had a K/BB ratio of at least 17:4 with at least 200 IP to get rid of small sample sizes:
Brad Radke 4.49
David Wells 4.14
David Wells 4.11
Jack Lynch 4.09
Greg Maddux 4.02
Brad Radke 3.94
Jimmy Key 3.88
Shane Reynolds 3.85
Bob Tewksbury 3.83
Scott Sanderson 3.81
That's all-time - over the past 100+ years, the worst ERA's ever. Of the 131 seasons of a K/BB that high there have been exactly 0 with an ERA of 4.50 or higher. And notice all of the guys on the top of the list are finesse pitchers who don't get a lot of K's. Not the case with Vazquez. This will not continue the way it has, there's absolutely no reason to believe it will.
As for my formula, I'll go punch in the numbers...
Given his K's, BB's, and HR, that is what his ERA should be. This is a great buy-low candidate if I've ever seen one.
hey! where is my credit in all of this???
I helped convince the cafe world of Vazquez being a stud. See the part where To answer gses question............I'm the one who said no one could have an ERA under 4.5 in history wit that kind of K/bb ratio.
LBjackyl just did all the hard work and went and looked it up!
Lb its hard to belive for the first time in a long time, we actually agree on something?
anyways im glad to be apart of the team that predicts Vazquez to catch on fire soon enough.