Mr. April gets his first start of the new season against the Phillies on Thursday. Loaiza is 18-3 lifetime in April, and indeed he had his typically strong spring training for the Nationals.
Even last year, Loaiza was 4-0 in April.
Need to speculate on a starter, here's your guy. If he gets blown out at Philly, hey, you gave your team ERA one bad start, and it's back to the scrap heap. If he works his usual bizarre April magic, you just keep running him out there until the fade begins.
One other reason to gamble on Loaiza. If he strings together three good starts, you have yourself a nice bargaining chip for trade.
April is the time to speculate, so consider taking this gamble, and good luck to us that do.