Hi everyone. I was wondering if anyone has a good method for projecting next year's stats for players. I have been reading quite a few articles online and I know that I do not want to use two or three year averages because those have been proven to be worse than just using last year's stats. I figure that getting a good stat projection is the most fundamental aspect of preparing for a draft/auction. Obviously no projections can be 100% correct, or even 90% correct. But, if you had projections that were even 80% correct you would easily win your league.

There are a ton of sites that will sell you their projections, but I want to put something together myself. Or, if I could find a site that gave free projections, I could adjust them were I feel they are wrong. Does anyone know if there is a place to download free projections?

On a tangent: would anyone be interested in putting together a little group to invent a projecting algorithm? I have all the stats we could possibly need but I think it would be better to have a group of 5-7 people working to tweak the algorithm (the more brains the better). We could set up an open-source type projecting service. Anyone interested?

Thanks for reading this rather long-winded post.

Michael.