Amazinz wrote:blankman wrote:jkpigskin wrote:beltran is very patient at the plate.. so he will help u with walks... if beltran can go back to his .300 ways and keep his other stats near where they were last year.. then he will be awesome... though i think vlad is the safer pick
Beltran very patient? You can't be serious. Back to his .300 ways? He's a career .284 hitter and has hit .300 only twice in 7 years.
Vlad and Alex Rodriguez are both better picks than Beltran in my opinion.
Beltran is a patient hitter. He hit .300+ in '01 and '03 and in ~3500 ABs the difference between a .300 hitter and a .285 hitter is not that wide.
You can make an argument for Vlad over Beltran but personally I'd take Beltran. Definitely not Arod.
The gap is not that wide, but the quote "back to his .300 days" implies that .300 is the norm for him, when it is clearly not.
Last year was the only year where Beltran's BB totals could be classified as patient. I look for more than one year in something like that. We'll see about this week.
There are a ton of variables going into what Carlos Beltran will do next year. He could hit .300, but he's just as likely to hit .280. He could hit 40 HR, but he's playing at Shea and has never hit 40 before. He could steal 40, but maybe he won't run as much now that he has the contract (I'm not saying he's like that, but we don't know for sure). Alex is a much safer pick and with my projections for him, I'd easily take him over the question mark of Carlos Beltran. The first round is about guarentees. Carlos is more of a potential pick. He's done everything, but has yet to put it all together in one season, so until he proves that he can, I can't justify taking him over guarentees like Pujols, Vlad and Alex.