hey, thanks for the input and suggestions everyone.
i think some of you guys - although i am second guessing the pick, as i said - are underestimating beltran.
let me break this down category by category. as i mentioned, my league has seven offensive categories. here's the way i see it:
runs - even
average - big edge to vlad (+50 points or so for vlad)
home runs - slight edge to vlad (+5 for vlad)
rbi - slight edge to vlad (+20 for vlad)
steals - big edge to beltran (+25 for beltran)
walks - big edge to beltran (+45 for beltran)
total bases - slight edge to vlad (+40 for vlad)
as you can see, they're even in one category, vlad has a slight edge in three, vlad his a big edge in one, and beltran has a big edge in two (tell me if you disagree with any of this).
and the wild card to me is that beltran is a lock (knock on wood) to stay healthy while vlad is a slight risk to miss some time.
i like the suggestion of trading patterson (if you haven't seen my team, you can click my handle if you want - i posted my team in the evaluation forum); one manager has already expressed interest. i don't think i want to trade crawford, because then i'd be giving up my stranglehold on steals. patterson will swipe about 30 i think; crawford will steal about double that.
i might do something like patterson and my catcher (hernandez) for justin morneau and piazza ... is this any good? i like morneau and i think he would be a nice addition for power and for walks. do you guys think piazza will stay healthy? he could be a great addition if he does. contract year too.