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Good at gambling? Rate these high-risk, high-payoff players!

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Good at gambling? Rate these high-risk, high-payoff players!

Postby Dr.DooM » Thu Mar 24, 2005 9:02 am

Say we're approaching the end of the draft and the roster is mostly complete. It's time to take a few risks but how would you assess your choices? Go with the highest payoff or the least risk? How would you rank the following and why?

Jason Giambi
Pat Burrell
Ken Griffey Jr
Garret Anderson
Sammy Sosa


Personally I would put Giambi on the top of the list. He's recovered from his ailments from last year and he's got something to prove. If he does well he's in the middle of the most powerful rotation in league.
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Postby TheRock » Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:03 am

Giambi - I agree, highest ceiling here
Sosa - health isn't a big issue and the change of scenery could do him well.
Griffey - we're talking upside, right? He's worth a wasted 20th round pick.
Anderson - still a lot of questions about his health
Burrell - even when he was on, his BA was nothing special. He's worked hard to make 2002 look like a fluke.
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Postby Cornbread Maxwell » Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:13 am

GA - he should be healthy - EDIT: I also want to add that I think the shift from CF to LF this yr should help him slightly with his health.
Burrell - dont be suprised when he wakes up - he may have corrected his mechanics issue with a new hitting coach. Ive seen lineups that have him batting 4th in between Abreu and Thome.
Giambi - Can he see better now? ;-7
Griffey - for about half a season
Sosa - I'll draft Sosa about the same time Burnitz goes off the table.
Last edited by Cornbread Maxwell on Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Cooner » Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:26 am

Cornbread Maxwell wrote:GA - he should be healthy.
Burrell - dont be suprised when he wakes up - he may have corrected his mechanics issue with a new hitting coach. Ive seen lineups that have him batting 4th in between Abreu and Thome.
Giambi - Can he see better now? ;-7
Griffey - for about half a season
Sosa - I'll draft Sosa about the same time Burnitz goes off the table.


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Postby logan » Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:27 am

GA

Sosa
Burrell
Giambi

Griffey

thats pretty much the order id look at them at. the only one id actually want to draft would be GA though. the other i would take depending on the value of the pick.
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Postby hybrid » Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:35 am

logan wrote:GA

Sosa
Burrell
Giambi

Griffey


I agree.
Anderson is the best safest option, while Griffey will be on his usual DL plan. I think Burrell could be #2, but I'll give Sosa the benefit of the doubt .... also it's hard to say how Giambi will do post roids.
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Re: Good at gambling? Rate these high-risk, high-payoff play

Postby j_d_mcnugent » Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:40 am

sosa-no health concerns, decent lineup. could jack 35+ and have decent rbi.

garret anderson-should have good average and good rbi totals. health somewhat of a concern. i dont see a lot of homers out of him.

giambi-he could have a decent season but will just be a middle of the road fantasy 1b. mediocre average, not more than 30hr, 100rbi.


grif-its always iffey if its griffey. 20 homers in 300ab last year. he still has the power. if he could play 140 games i think he would have more value than anyone on this list.

i think the top three are pretty close but griff is a little bit lower since he hasnt played more than a half season in quite a while.


burrell-doesnt steal or hit for average and his power numbers will be decent but nothing remarkable. he is clearly the lowest one of the group in my opinion.
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Postby stumpak » Thu Mar 24, 2005 12:25 pm

Anderson is the best bet by a wide margin, Sosa second.
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Postby Kelly Gruber » Thu Mar 24, 2005 3:07 pm

I have all of them!! And more risky picks such as Nomar, Roy Halladay, Andy Pettite, Wade Miller...
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Re: Good at gambling? Rate these high-risk, high-payoff play

Postby Strasil42 » Thu Mar 24, 2005 4:00 pm

j_d_mcnugent wrote:sosa-no health concerns, decent lineup. could jack 35+ and have decent rbi.

besides the effects of steroid use?
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