bselig wrote:It's not a lot because you are leaving out a number of guys, Matt Lawton and M.Giles immediately come to mind, but i'm going to assume there are others out there...Patterson isn't a thirty thirty guy, he might have the POTENTIAL to be one, but he's never done it and the likelihood of him approaching it isn't particularly high. You can definitely use Corey Patterson effectively, perhaps mix and matched with other well rounded guys, but steals aren't scare enough in major league baseball to make him better than JD Drew, a player with about a 25 point higher career batting average and a much higher ops (i play in an ops league) who is a lock for 100 runs and thirty homers and should get close 100 rbi. The likelihood of injury is something that might knock Drew down to Patterson's level, but I'd rather take take a Matt Lawton later if I'm looking for a guy who can steal some bases (sb are only 1 out of 9 batting cats in my league) than jump the gun on a mediocre hitter like CPatterson
Yes, I forgot about Giles because I was looking at last year's SB lists. But there are not that many more. If you care to give me names, go ahead. Don't assume without actually knowing.
Matt Lawton is a joke. His previous batting average for the last three years prior to last one averages out to .244. On top of that, he only played in a combined 261 games those three years. What does that say? A declining, injury-prone player. He's 33, I should add. He's on the down and down while Patterson is on the up and up. Shall I also add that Lawton was rolling before the all-star break with a .305 average with 15 homers, but shot down to his normal self in the second half, hitting .239 with 5 taters? No way I'd even touch Matt Lawton in a draft period. I'd be better off with C-Patt and taking a player like Burrell or Holliday late then a Drew/Lawton combo.
In an OPS league, I'd take Drew, too. But, the owner here specifically mentioned that it was a 5X5 league, where steals are 1/5 of the hitting categories. They are very critical and thus Corey Patterson is the better pick.
Drew is NOT a lock for .300-30-100. Any Cardinal fan can testify to that.