CubsFan7724 wrote:LBJackal wrote:It's not the power I doubt. I have him projected for:
39 HR, 94 R, 115 RBI, 3 SB, .286 BA
That works out to about 42nd overall. Power is over-rated. As for Vernon Wells, his projections are:
30 HR, 102 R, 105 RBI, 14 SB, .300 BA
That comes out to $5 more valuable than Teix.
So I'd think about this decision for a second rounder. Most people say the first few rounds don't matter, seasons are won and lost in the middle rounds. Well, if you make picks like Helton in the top 5, Teix in the first 2 rounds, you can very easily shoot yourself in the foot before the 3rd round even starts.
So, his average will go up, and his home runs go up, yet he hits only 3 more RBI and gets less runs? How do you figure? That lineup is stacked top to bottom, probably more so than last year with Hidalgo there protecting Tex. He should be a shoo-in for 40/100/120 if hes healthy. He nearly hit that missing a month. And why in the world would you take Vernon Wells in the 2nd round when you could get him 3 or 4 rounds later? Why wouldn't you take Tex, and if you don't like him, trade him for value, and take Wells later?
40-100-120 would still leave Vernon $3 more valuable than Teix. So I think the question should be, why would you draft Teix in the 2nd round when he shouldn't be drafted until the 4th round?
Also, I wouldn't draft Vernon in the 2nd round, because a) there are better players still available at that point and b)he can be had later.