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quietstorm wrote:warrick95 wrote:It's spring training...everybody's just getting into shape. Soriano's streaky as hell, anyway, so hopefully he's just getting the bad streak out of the way.
I doubt anybody would accept that trade. If you could do it, I would do it regardless of Soriano's status.
Poor math. Just because the roulette wheel lands red ten times in a row doesn't mean it's any less likely to keep landing red. Batting is the same way; if a player sucks for the first few months of the season, it doesn't make him any more likely to do better the rest of the way.
Soriano is so streaky because he relies on luck. He swings at everything, so his rate stats (AVG, OBP, SLG) are all tied directly to how well the fielders on the other team are doing, and how lucky he is with where the ball drops.
That said, Soriano is overhyped. His ISO has dropped two years in a row, and I don't expect him to rebound. His idiocy at the plate is finally catching up to him. Yes, he's still better than anybody at his position, but that doesn't make him the stud that people assume.
quietstorm wrote:Since XBH isn't the most accurate stastic (AB fluctuations affect it considerably), here are the ISO stats for Soriano, the past three years (I've taken the liberty of using an altered ISO, effectively converting all triples into doubles, since a triple is a measure of speed more than power):
2002 - .245
2003 - .228
2004 - .199
In 2001, it was .159. As we all know, 2002 was his breakout season. But, he did have a significant dropoff in 2003. His HR and SB don't show it, but his ISO shows that there's a drop there (just look at his doubles for the year).
<...info about Beltre, relevant to another thread>
Soriano's been falling apart for the past two years.
For what its worth Soriano's PETCO shows improvement this year over last year towards his statistical mean.
BaseballProspectus2005 wrote:Probably the single most overrated player in baseball. Yes, it's interesting and axciting that he can hit a pitch two feet down and in over the fence. But what the hell is he doing swinging at it in the first place? Most of the time, he flails at that pitch and misses it, in yet another mini trhee-act play that has Soriano loping back ot the bench. He hit .244/.291/.444 on the road. Defensitvely, no metric pegs him as a good defensive second baseman, and one advance scout describes him as "beyond redemption" with the glove. Why, exactly, do people think this guy is anythign remotely resembling a star? Are we that starved for excitement?
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