stumpak wrote:His career splits are not as drastic as last year, but he still gets beat up by righties. I place more credence in this due to the sample size. He clearly has the job at this point, but I am not so high on the guy to be the raging sucess that everyone envisions. People seem to be valuing like he is some sort of sure shot, but that is not the case at all.
The nice thing, however, is that he will at least be getting a crapload of Ks ifhe flounders.
You are making the common mistake of focusing too much on the fantasy numbers rather than on other important numbers that do not get counted in fantasy ball.
Ryan doesn't get "beat up" by righties. He gives up a lot of singles to righties. In almost 500 plate appearances over the last 3 years, he's given up just 5 HRs to righties. That's one homer every 20 innings, gang. Righties slug just .357 against him. He's also got a 2/1 K/BB rate against righties.
Think about what the typical closer does. He comes in with bases empty needing to get three outs protecting a 1, 2 or 3 run lead. Ryan's worst outings usually involve a couple of singles and a walk. That MIGHT get you one run. IOW, because he almost never gives up the dong, he's golden for 2 and 3 run leads and still really, really tough with a one run lead, because you aren't going to tie it with one swing. You have to put together a 3 man rally to beat him.
You're misjudging Ryan by looking only at HOW MANY hits he gives up to righties and ignoring WHAT KINDS of hits he gives up.