His AVG/OBP/SLG are all on a 2 year upward trend. He's on the wrong side of the aging curve, but who knows, we might be looking at one of those players who defies odds and gets better with age. Last season he just could not stop mashing the ball....38Doubles 42HR's in 612 plate appearences.
over the last 5 years he's only had one year with less then 576 plate appearences.
So the "injury" tag he gets slapped with is a bit unfair.
i wouldn't hesitate to take him, if i saw him slip to the 3rd. (he's a good pick anywhere from early 2nd on) the upside is just to high. Especially considering his SLG was only 2nd to bonds last season.
he does come with risk though...as previous posters stated.... he seems to be one of those guys who misses games for petty reasons, and because of some major injuries in the past, it feels like he could miss a big chunk of the season any given year.
as far as "triple crown" projections.
i see him getting tons of runs and rbi's (because of the lineup) as long as he continues to get on base as much as he has, and because of his major league leading SLG%
100+R 37-42HR 110+RBI .295-.310BA