How many do you keep?
If this is a league where you only keep say 4-6 players, you're probably not going to be keeping a guy off this list.
For this year I like:
However, if it's a dyansty type league where you will be keeping most of your roster, it may not be a bad idea to lock up Scott Kazmir right now. I think he's capable of posting numbers comparable to the rest of the group this year, and blowing them all out of the water within 2-3 years.