Keeper League Redraft

[jazzfunk2]

I woke up this morning to find the expansion draft for my 13 team Yahoo keeper league concluded and my 6 keepers set (A-Rod, Abreu, Ollie Perez, Morneau, Hoffman and Bay).

I have the 2nd draft position in the upcoming draft and could use the Cafe's wisdom to steer me through.

The key available players are:


Pierre
Jimmy Rollins
Melvin Mora
Francisco Cordero
Corey Patterson
Derek Lee
Clemens
Buehrle
Mulder
Bret Boone
Dotel
Loretta
Halladay
Billy Wagner


How should I approach the draft?

[jazzfunk2]

I have a strong inclination to take Cordero or Dotel to create a strong 1-2 punch with Hoffman. Last year, Hoffman was joined by Jorge Julio and Rocky Biddle and you can guess the results.

[Rico The Retard]

go for Clemens that will basically make your SP solid with Ollie and Clemens as your 1 and 2, you can get good decent closers in the next round or so

[jazzfunk2]

Thanks, Rico.

If the owner with the 1st pick chooses Clemens, then should Mulder, Buehrle, or Halladay be considered in his place or should I then go with a Juan Pierre or Jimmy Rollins?

[GotowarMissAgnes]

No way do I go with Clemens in a keeper league. I'd look at Mulder, Halladay, and Buehrle. I'd pick Buehrle, since he's the youngest, has the best ERA+, and the best injury history, IMO.

[gtabaplayr1]

Just because its a keeper league doesn't mean you still have to pick all young players. And theres no way i would pick Buehrle before Clemens because u are trying to win this year as well as in the future. You will be able to find a number of Buehrle type players on the waiver wire throughout the year.

[colt4523]

I would pick halladay, but that is just me. I like him better then clemens and mulder for this year.

[jazzfunk2]

Thanks guys. I appreciate the advice.

[GotowarMissAgnes]

Just because its a keeper league doesn't mean you still have to pick all young players. And theres no way i would pick Buehrle before Clemens because u are trying to win this year as well as in the future. You will be able to find a number of Buehrle type players on the waiver wire throughout the year.

Of course, it doesn't mean that you have to pick all young players, but it does mean that a player's value to you should be based not only on their value for this year, but on their value in future years, too.

Clemens is probably worth about $14 this year, while Buehrle about $8.50. Of course, there is a much higher likelihood that the difference is smaller than that rather than larger, because Buehrle is much more likely to improve and Clemens is much more likely to decline. But, even using those numbers, one year of Clemens is only worth less than two years of Buehrle. Choosing Buehrle does make it less likely you win this year. But, it makes you much more likely to win sometime in the next 5 years.

And I don't know what kind of league you play in, but the chance of grabbing a pitcher who is under age 27 and has posted 5 consecutive above average seasons and a career average 20 percent above average off of the waiver wires in leagues I've played in is somewhere on the order of .00000000000000000000000001

[chris8]

I think if you really want Buerhle, he will still be around for your pick next time up.

This time, go with Clemens, Pierre or Cordero.

Clemens if you want a stud pitcher who will help you win this year.
Pierre if you like to load up on bats
Cordero if you want to get two stud closers and not have to worry about that position for the rest of the draft.