How much does his .250 average butcher a teams chances? Are the potential 80 steals worth his baggage?
My keepers right now are Texeira, Delgado, Nomar, Magglio and C. Zambrano.
With those guys can I afford the hit in average of Podsy and grab him with my first pick (equal to 6th round in a 14 team league) so I don't have to worry about speed the rest of the draft? Is there another direction I should go?
I think that his average will be > .250 and that he is not a bad pick. Are there any other speed guys out there though? I am leery of putting all my eggs in Podsednik's basket but his average, as it's not likely to be the same, will be either higher or lower and, I really don't see how it could get too much lower w/o him being kicked to the minor leagues. So it's going up and the only question is how much? I'd suspect he can hit in the .270 range and will steal TONS of bases.
And, if he DOES keep hitting fly balls which killed him last year, maybe at least a few more of them will flow out of USCellular field for him?
j_d_mcnugent wrote:his average will definitely hurt you some but where would you be without those 75 or so steals? i would think 75 steals would move you up more places in steals than the .250 would bring you down.
His minor league career shows that last years average was what to expect not the previous. I'd expect no better than .260 average and it's even possible as low as .240 without many walks. He is still semi valuable just for the steals but late rounds. He's the same as a Dave Roberts to me with a little more power.
He'll definately hit above .250, but he won't steal nearly as many bags. Playing in Cellular will hurt his value, I think. Why risk a stolen base when the next guy up could bunt the ball out of the park?
Absolutely Adequate wrote:He'll definately hit above .250, but he won't steal nearly as many bags. Playing in Cellular will hurt his value, I think. Why risk a stolen base when the next guy up could bunt the ball out of the park?
He won't hurt you at all, but don't count on 70 steals, either.
I fail to see how he'll "definitely" hit above .250. Nothing he did in the minors ever suggested he'd be capable of it. He spent 8 years in the minors hacking away with mediocre seasons at best. I think it would be fair to call his rookie year anomalous and just move on expecting for him to hit for low average. It's the hit you take for wanting a guy capable of 70 SB. I don't think playing in US Cell will hurt his SB total, as I believe the Sox are moving to a running philosophy rather than a power one with El Caballo and Mags out the door.
That said, I hope he does do better. As a Brewer fan, I'll always like him for the rookie year he gave us, the excitment he brought to the basepaths, and for being the guy we flipped for Carlos Lee.