by Absolutely Adequate » Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:23 pm
I expect him to be a good mix of a great closer and a great middle reliever. I think he'll get a fair amount of saves, something under 30 (say, 25). But I think he'll match it with 7 wins or so and a lot of k's.
I think he'll get all those wins because he'll blow a couple of saves but the O's offense will save him and grab a win for him. He'll blow them because of his aformentioned trouble with righties. And because of the Orioles bats.
Last edited by Absolutely Adequate on Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Just remember that Ryan is not proven and has yet to jump into the closer role. Great set-up guys fail too when jumping into the closer role. Last year Ryan Wagner was supposed to jump in the Cinnci role when Danny Graves was assumed to suck it up, didn't quite work out. Take the guys with some experience there first.
...Boston papers now and then suffer a sharp flurry of arithmetic on this score; indeed, for Williams to have distributed all his hits so they did nobody else any good would constitute a feat of placement unparalleled in the annals of selfishness. -Updike
In general, when trying to evaluate closers, I think it's best to assume that a better pitcher will have more success than a worse pitcher. So, I'd rather have Mota or Ryan than Graves or Percival, simply because they're better pitchers.
Last year, there were two notable new closers at the beginning of the season - Joe Nathan and Arthur Rhodes. Nathan, though young, had shown himself to be a good pitcher, and he was successful as a closer. Rhodes had been a mediocre pitcher his whole career, so it's unsurprising that he was a poor closer. (The only real exception I can think of is LaTroy Hawkins.)
I don't know what it is but this guy is going to be great, he will be the next elite closer, there are 4 or 5 elite closers right now that will be taken before him, this year, not next.
"I am, who I become; therefore success is not a destination, but rather a never ending journey."
The only other guy i'm really considering drafting is Posada, but there is alot of C's in that range of value. Having 2 closers is pretty important and I only have Hoffman right now. Its a 12 team fantasy point league. Its in RD 11 and Ryan looks to be my guy.
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by Absolutely Adequate » Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:23 pm 
