I'd take Beltre over Aram easily. Certainly, Beltre's ceiling is MUCH higher than Aram's. Even if Beltre falls significantly off his numbers for 2004 (344/48/121) he'll still post better numbers than Aram did. And the potential of that line-up in Seattle? Wow. Ichiro will be standing on second half the time Beltre steps into the box. Park factor is not an issue for me, as Chavez Ravine in LA is an infamous pitchers park. If Beltre can hit 344/48 in LA then he can hit the same or similar numbers in Safeco.
Will Beltre repeat? Who knows. I think he's the real deal. Don't forget, though, that it's not like Aram has been tearing up the league for years either. 2004 was by far his best year too. Will he repeat?
With this sort of upside, Beltre's the clear choice for me. Not even close.
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