I need to see him put those numbers up again before I'd draft him in the first round (especially mid-1st round). There's a big difference between 25/25 and 30/40. Mid-2nd feels about right to me. Possibly early 2nd depending on league size.
chris8 wrote:I fully expect him to keep up those sorts of numbers.
After the obvious top 4, Abreu is right in the mix with Tejada, Helton and others in the top 10 IMO.
That is where I have him also. I like him slightly better than Beltran for 05. They are about 6, 7 overall IMO.
One of the things you should look for is the reliability of the pick in the first round. Abreu has been consistent and reliable for many years so your risk is minimal compared to most players. He won't carry your team but he's been on several winning teams of mine over the year.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
I actually just took him in sixth posit in a ten team head to head, though I thought there was a good chance I'd get another first round quality stud in the second (helton ended up falling to me on the turn...ten team...silly that)...
I have the 8th pick in my 12 person head to head and I'm gonna take him at that place I THINK...the consistency is there and moreover I really think he was resting on his laurels a bit for a few years before the last...he's reported to camp in good shape and I think that fact along with a green light manager bodes well for something resembling a repeat...hr might dip just a touch but I still have him down for 25-30 with 30-35 sb and there may be more here...I also think he may experience a bit of a spike in ba this year...
so yeah, take him knowing ya got a good bit of everything here and don't feel TOO bad about letting a single category stud get past yah