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Jenkins or Kotsay

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Postby Dawgpound 1613 » Wed Feb 23, 2005 11:33 am

Jenkins. Kotsay doesn't seem to have regained his power potential since his back issues.
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Postby Bentley » Fri Mar 04, 2005 7:56 pm

Good question!

80hrs (count on 5-10 SB/season)

153hrs (3 half-seasons due to injury)

I've seen projections with GJ at .265, and Kotsay at .285. .285 with a lot of AB's won't help you much, but will stabilize your BA to help prevent one bad season from killin' ya. The silver lining to Jenkins' low BA is that he walks, gets platooned on occasion, and gets injured, so it doesn't hurt you too much, and he does have grade-A power against RHP.

I'd say if you want a stabilizing factor, and are able to gather HRs elsewhere, gobble up MK - he'll probably beat Jenkins in 3 categories significantly, and might hold his own in BI. If you can make daily moves, and your B-plan (i.e. when Jenkins is facing LHP, or is playing in a lousy HR park) is okay, consider Jenkins. HRs are usually harder to get than BA on draft day.

Go Cubs! (2005 is *the* year)
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Postby Havok1517 » Fri Mar 04, 2005 11:16 pm

A healthy Jenkins over Kotsay.
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Postby TB13 » Sat Mar 05, 2005 12:00 am

Defintely Jenkins
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Postby SHOCKandAWE » Sat Mar 05, 2005 12:00 am

I think Jenkins could be one o fthe leagues biggest sleepers this year
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Postby Ender » Sat Mar 05, 2005 12:04 am

If Jenkins stays healthy he'll blow Kotsay away, its not even close.
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Postby kev921 » Sat Mar 05, 2005 12:15 am

Jenkins had his first non-injury laden season in ????, so he should not be the obvious choice. BUT, I would pick him over Kotsay. I think the Brewers will have a better season than the A's 8-o
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Postby ayebatter » Sat Mar 05, 2005 1:56 am

Jenkins - and looks like he will sit against lefties a majority of the time, so his average should be up a bit this year.
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Postby Surfs up » Sat Mar 05, 2005 11:04 am

Kotsay won't hit more then 15 homeruns this year. Hits for a decent average but doesn't look like he will have many runs to knock in .Oakland rebuilding again this year.
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Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Sat Mar 05, 2005 11:47 am

Surfs up wrote:Kotsay won't hit more then 15 homeruns this year. Hits for a decent average but doesn't look like he will have many runs to knock in .Oakland rebuilding again this year.

?? Let's see, they added Kendall, an incredible OBP machine, will have a major addition by subtraction at 2B, add Swisher who should easily outdistance what they got in the OF last year, and Crosby's a year older and better.

And they get the DH, where Milwaukee does not.

Last year the A's scored 160 runs MORE than the Brewers. Sure, the Brewers have narrowed the about 30 runs according to most projections. But, Kotsay's going to easily score 95+ runs with the current lineup behind him, and he's got a good chance to knock in 70 with the bottom of the lineup set the way it is. And his average is likely to be more in the 295-315 range.

So, it's a lot closer than people are saying. Jenkins gets you 20 extra RBIs and maybe 10 extra HRs. Kotsay gets you about 30 extra BA points, maybe 10-20 extra runs and 5-7 extra SBs.

My league counts OPS but they are about even there. I have the two of them ranked within a hair of each other with Jenkins, just barely on top.
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